Election Predictions

Election predictions for all national races in the United States, as well as governor election predictions. Check back daily for updates.

Sunday, January 01, 2006

National Overview - House

Note: Name listed next to the seat is the Incumbent, not the projected winner.
Republicans

Weak Retention - Total: 12

  • J.D. Hayworth, Arizona District 5
  • No Incumbent, Florida District 13
  • Ron Lewis, Kentucky District 2
  • Anne Northup, Kentucky District 3
  • Tim Walz, Minnesota District 1
  • Michael Ferguson, New Jersey District 7
  • John Sweeney, New York District 20
  • Randy Kuhl, New York District 29
  • No Incumbent, Nevada District 2
  • Mike Fitzpatrick, Pennsylvania District 8
  • Henry Bonilla, Texas District 23
  • Barbara Cubin, Wyoming AL District

Very Weak Retention - Total: 15

  • Richard Pombo, California District 11
  • Mariyln Musgrave, Colorado District 4
  • Christopher Shays, Connecticut District 4
  • Nancy Johnson, Connecticut District 5
  • Clay Shaw, Florida District 22
  • No Incumbent, Illinois District 6
  • No Incumbent, Minnesota District 6
  • Heather Wilson, New Mexico District 1
  • Robin Hayes, North Carolina District 8
  • Steve Chabot, Ohio District 1
  • Deborah Pryce, Ohio District 15
  • Curt Weldon, Pennsylvania District 7
  • Don Sherwood, Pennsylvania District 10
  • Dave Reichert, Washington District 8
  • No Incumbent, Wisconsin District 8

Democrats

Weak Retention - Total: 3

  • John Salazar, Colorado District 3
  • Leonard Boswell, Iowa District 3
  • Charlie Melancon, Louisiana District 3

Very Weak Retention - Total: 4

  • Jim Marshall, Georgia District 8
  • John Barrows, Georgia District 12
  • Melissa Bean, Illinois District 8
  • Chet Edwards, Texas District 17

Very Weak Gain - Total: 8

  • No Incumbent, Colorado District 7
  • Rob Simmons, Connecticut District 2
  • Geoff Davis, Kentucky District 4
  • No Incumbent, New York District 24
  • Charles Taylor, North Carolina District 11
  • Robert Ney, Ohio District 18
  • Jim Gerlach, Pennsylvania District 6
  • Thelma Drake, Virginia District 2

Weak Gain - Total: 7

  • No Incumbent, Arizona District 8
  • Chris Chocola, Indiana District 2
  • John Hostettler, Indiana District 8
  • Mike Sodrel, Indiana District 9
  • No Incumbent, Iowa District 1
  • No Incumbent, Texas District 22
  • No Incumbent, Vermont District 1

5 Comments:

  • At 2:24 PM , Blogger jp said...

    Robin Hayes in NC, not Robert. FYI.

    thanks for the link
    jp

     
  • At 4:12 PM , Anonymous E J Hosdil said...

    OH 6 is not a Democratic gain. It already is Democrat (open seat.)

     
  • At 5:53 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Tom, do you think that the dems will retake either house of congress?

     
  • At 8:03 PM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

    I believe that While the Majority may want the Democrats to take back congress that will translate into few district elections. I beleieve this will translate more to statewide elections (senate.) I'm calling the democrats take back the senate and win some seats in the house, while not enough for majority.

     
  • At 2:00 AM , Anonymous Anonymous said...

    I doubt the Melancon race (LA 3) is going to be quite as close as his close initial election suggests because his district has since absorbed a bunch of mostly-democrat-voting Katrina refugees from the city while a lot of more conservative voters in the district have been displaced by Katrina and Rita.

     

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